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Jul 17, 2022
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The Second Naqqa War, which has attracted global attention in recent months, is largely over. The main warring countries in this war were Azerbaijan, a Muslim country located between the Caucasus Mountains and the Caspian Sea, and Armenia, a Christian country located in the central Caucasus. The focus of the war is to compete for the western part of Azerbaijan, a Naka area where the inhabitants are mainly Armenians. From 1988 to 1994, the first Naka war occurred here. The result of the war was that Armenia won a complete victory, and the Naka region was substantially independent. However, in the second photo background removing Naka war, the outcome was completely reversed. The final outcome can be said to be Armenia's complete fiasco, humiliating surrender and losing the Naka region. Here I try to organize some observations and notes. strategic situation The Caucasus region is located at the transportation hub between the Black Sea and the Caspian Sea. To the west is Turkey, to the north is Russia, and to the south is Iran. Therefore, it has been a battleground for the surrounding powers since ancient times. Among them, Turkey and Azerbaijan have naturally become very close allies due to their cultural and religious similarities and historical grievances with Armenia. After the disintegration of the Soviet Union, the situation in this area has roughly shown a situation of horizontal vs vertical. The horizontal part is composed of the United States, Turkey, Georgia, and Azerbaijan (this can be clearly seen from the oil pipeline route in the figure below. On the other hand, Russia, Armenia, and Iran have formed a vertical alliance. As for the fuse that triggered this war, the bottom line is that both alliances had internal problems. RTR1FGH5 Photo Credit: Reuters / Dazhi Image Strength comparison In comparison, Armenia and Azerbaijan can be said to have a huge disparity in strength. The population of Asia and the United States is only more than 3 million (the population of Naka is about 150,000), while the population of Azerbaijan is about 10 million, and the gap is as high as three. times. In addition, Azerbaijan is
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